Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...

Inverted yield curves happen when bonds with shorter maturity periods have higher yields than bonds with longer maturity periods. Under normal circumstances, it’s the other way around. Since ...

The yield curve inverted in June 2022, and as we all know, the recession never came. When it flipped positive in 2024, ...

The U.S. Treasury yield curve, one of the most reliable signals of recession, is flashing red again. As of March 2025, the spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields remains inverted, a ...

The yield curve has long been a closely watched indicator of economic health. When the yield curve inverts, meaning short-term interest rates exceed long-term rates, it is often seen as a harbinger of ...

Analysts and investors began to brace for a souring economic environment as the 10-year Treasury yield fell below that of a 3 ...

As of early March 2025, investors—and consumers—have once again begun to feel skittish about the possibility of an impending ...

Jerome Powell claims we've avoided a recession, but I disagree, citing the steepening yield curves and other macro indicators pointing towards an economic bust. The 10yr-2yr Yield Curve steepening ...

An ominous measure that the Federal Reserve considers a near surefire recession signal again has reared its head in the bond market. The 10-year Treasury yield passed below that of the 3-month note in ...

Nearly 61% of U.S. investors feel pessimistic about the market's future, the most recent weekly survey from the American Association of Individual Investors revealed. So if you're worried a recession ...